Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.024111 0.026034 0.028040 0.030290 0.032744 0.035343 0.038306
2025-11-23 0.020954 0.023713 0.026746 0.030333 0.034470 0.039102 0.044699
2025-11-30 0.018717 0.021927 0.025594 0.030108 0.035537 0.041883 0.049899
2025-12-07 0.017091 0.020587 0.024707 0.029946 0.036468 0.044365 0.054722
2025-12-14 0.015758 0.019433 0.023881 0.029696 0.037151 0.046461 0.059076
2025-12-21 0.014796 0.018632 0.023385 0.029757 0.038147 0.048920 0.063960
2025-12-28 0.013873 0.017797 0.022764 0.029572 0.038755 0.050847 0.068197
2026-01-04 0.013125 0.017129 0.022295 0.029524 0.039496 0.052940 0.072731
2026-01-11 0.012527 0.016612 0.021979 0.029637 0.040427 0.055303 0.077746
2026-01-18 0.011966 0.016104 0.021636 0.029672 0.041223 0.057488 0.082602
2026-01-25 0.011517 0.015720 0.021431 0.029873 0.042240 0.060016 0.088088
2026-02-01 0.010936 0.015120 0.020885 0.029545 0.042454 0.061358 0.091837
2026-02-08 0.010314 0.014448 0.020233 0.029064 0.042470 0.062487 0.095471
2026-02-15 0.009856 0.013991 0.019866 0.028987 0.043090 0.064574 0.100780
2026-02-22 0.009390 0.013498 0.019418 0.028754 0.043444 0.066254 0.105525
2026-03-01 0.008983 0.013068 0.019038 0.028596 0.043894 0.068091 0.110632
2026-03-08 0.008586 0.012633 0.018625 0.028358 0.044189 0.069678 0.115400
2026-03-15 0.008293 0.012340 0.018411 0.028416 0.044956 0.072065 0.121698
2026-03-22 0.007964 0.011975 0.018066 0.028240 0.045319 0.073786 0.126917
2026-03-29 0.007687 0.011678 0.017812 0.028194 0.045888 0.075875 0.132930
2026-04-05 0.007461 0.011452 0.017657 0.028302 0.046715 0.078449 0.140002
2026-04-12 0.007234 0.011211 0.017467 0.028335 0.047410 0.080816 0.146842
2026-04-19 0.007052 0.011036 0.017374 0.028525 0.048384 0.083733 0.154934